According to the Health Ministry and Family Welfare data, released on 02/04/2020, The total number of coronavirus cases in India has risen to 1965(Currently), while 151 people have been cured and discharged after receiving treatment, as of 9 am today.
As per the graph(Number of confirmed COVID-19 infected people in India) has jumped 47 percent over the past two days – the latest data from the ministry of health and family welfare (MoHFW) published last night, 01/04/2020. This is a faster increase compared to the previous 48 hours as the number of infected cases rose to 1251, which was 37 percent.
The number of Current case(infected person from COVID-19) count is now roughly double what it was four days ago. At this trajectory, the number of cases could shoot up to 10,000 over the next thirteen days and the Conditions of Hospitals (in India) could get worse, as there is fewer number of Ventilators and testing kits reported.
Given the volatility in India’s daily data over the past few days, it is too early to say whether the current trajectory will sustain, rise, or flatten in the coming days. It is worth noting that the US had a flatter trajectory compared to China until recently. But as testing expanded, cases spiked up, with the US now overtaking China as the country with the most confirmed cases of COVID-19.
Seeing the Motility in India’s daily data over a week, Pre-judgment on whether the ”current trajectory’ will sustain, rise or flatten in the coming days would be inaccurate. It is worth noting that the US had a flatter trajectory compared to China until recently. But as testing expanded, cases spiked up, with the US now overtaking China as the country with the most confirmed cases of COVID-19.
At 254, Maharashtra leads in terms of the number of active cases of COVID-19, according to the latest health ministry update. Active cases exclude deaths and recoveries from the list of confirmed cases.
Tamil Nadu has the second most number of active cases (227), followed by Kerala (216). At 144 active cases, Delhi has the fourth-highest number of active cases, followed closely by Telangana (92). The top five states together account for 57 percent of the active cases nationally.
These are early days yet and the state-wise distribution could change rapidly in the coming days. Across the country, there seems to be a strong link between the extent of testing done by states and the number of cases that have been identified. This suggests that as other states ramp up testing, more cases could get reported from those states as well.
So far, three states have reported COVID-19 cases in the north-east: Manipur, Mizoram, and Assam, with 1 confirmed case so far in each of these states. Other north-eastern states have not reported any case so far.
Over the past two days, Tamil Nadu and Maharashtra have seen the biggest spikes in confirmed cases. These two states accounted for 47 percent of the rise in confirmed cases nationally over this period.
So far, COVID-19 has claimed 47, 208 deaths globally, of which Italy has accounted for the most deaths (13,155), followed by Spain (9,387). These countries have overtaken China — where the virus originated — in the number of deaths. China, which has seen 3,316 COVID-19 deaths so far, has been able to slow the spread of the disease over the past month.
The US has 215,417 confirmed cases and 5,116 deaths so far, the country has surpassed China on both counts.
